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Service Plays and Consensus Reports for Sunday 07-27-08
Game: Florida @ Cubs
Pick: Florida +155
The Marlins have owned the Cubs over the last 2 seasons going 12-1 in the 13 meetings. The Cubs starter Jason Marquis is 1-3 with a hefty 8.14 ERA versus the Marlins since 2005. In 9 starts at home Marquis has posted a lofty 5.44 ERA. Chicago is 1-5 in their last 6 versus a right-handed starting pitcher. The Florida starter Rick VandenHurk seems to have benefitted from his demotion to the minors earlier this season. In his first start since his promotion VandenHurk threw 5.0 innings of no hit ball. The only negative was his 5 walks that resulting in him getting pulled from the game because of his pitch count. The Marlins are 8-2 in the last 10 as an underdog and 6-2 on the road this season in day games versus a right-handed starting pitcher. Play on the Florida Marlins as an underdog for my selection of the day.
5 units on Philadelphia (-3 1/2) over San Jose, 3:00
3 STAR: (967) MINNESOTA (-$104) over Cleveland
(Listing Blackburn only) (Risking $312 to win $300)
3 STAR: (951) ST. LOUIS (+$166) over NY Mets
(Listing Lohse only) (Risking $300 to win $498)
Tigers
Reds
Pirates
Angels over the Orioles in Major League Baseball.
Better team laying a reasonable number here, that is the first, most basic aspect of the play, Looking closer, notice that the Halos have gone 15-5 this month
(46-24 in July L3Y) with a 9-1 record in their last ten games whereas the Orioles are 7-15 in July with a 3-9 record of late.
Play On: Pittsburgh w/Maholm vs Peavy
Note: Pirates conclude their series with the Pirates in Pittsburgh Sunday afternoon when Paul Maholm takes on Jake Peavy and the Padres. A quick check of the numbers shows Maholm with an 8-2 mark at home with a 3.33 ERA this season while Peavy is 3-5 away with 4.53 ERA. Maholm's home ERA is more than a full run better than his road ERA while Peavy's road ERA is more than 3 runs higher than his home ERA. With Maholm 4-1 in days starts this season, look for Pittsburgh to surprise San Diego here this afternoon.
Sunday: Take SAN DIEGO/PITTSBURGH OVER the total of 7 runs
New team, new city for Randy Wolf, who moves over from the Padres to the Astros. Wolf has pitched more like a sheep this season, going 6-10 with a 4.74 era. On the road the Padres lost nine of his 10 stars and Wolf had a 6.63 era. Jeff Suppan goes for the Brewers today and while he's 5-6 on the season with a 4.65 era, he historically has had his troubles with the Astros. Suppan is 2-6 in his career against the Astros with a 4.83 era and a 3.08 opponent batting average. We don't expect to see either of these pitchers last long in today's contest. Take the OVER
It's not exactly wise to be asking the Braves to do anything positive on the road, but I think they have a good shot today. Campillo continues to provide mostly quality efforts and I prefer him to Blanton, who I believe the Phillies badly overpaid for in their deal with the A's (especially when considering how little the competition have been giving up in other deals). The Braves really blew on yesterday, coughing up a huge lead, but I'll go with them to rebound and score a win here against the Phillies.
Marlins vs. Cubs
Florida has been a run producing machine with Over the Total winners in 35 of 52 games. Their meetings with these Cubs have gone Over the Total in 16 of 23 meetings and the Chicago starter Marquis has been lit up for big numbers in 7 of 10 home starts. Our Sunday selection in National League action is Marlins Cubs Over the Total
7/27/2008 Detroit Tigers -119
7/27/2008 Baltimore Orioles 129
Sunday's Selections
MLB-Minnesota -105
MLB-Philadelphia -140
MLB-Milwaukee -165
MLB-Yanks/Bost Over 10
Arena Bowl-Philadelphia -4
Sunday's Plays
3*)Arizona -134
FREE PICK
4*)LA Angels -138
4*)Toronto -164
Thanks and Good Luck
Slade
Southcoast Sports
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